农村金融体制改革方向的探讨

农村金融体制改革,是政府主导型的强制性制度变迁,沿袭正规金融体系及机构,压制非正规金融的诱致性制度变迁,忽视金融机构的基本功能,具有显著的路径依赖特征。从农村金融体制改革的指导思想、农信社管理体制改革和农村合作银行的建立等方面分析了农村金融体制改革的重要性和迫切性,为我国农村金融体制的改革方向提供参考。     

Simulation of historical and projected climate change in arid and semiarid areas by CMIP5 models

Based on Climatic Research Unit Time Series3.1 temperature and Global Precipitation Climatology Center full data reanalysis version 6 precipitation data,the abilities of climate models from the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project to simulate climate changes over arid and semiarid areas were assessed.Simulations of future climate changes under different representative concentration pathways(RCPs)were also examined.The key findings were that most of the models are able to capture the dominant features of the spatiotemporal changes in temperature,especially the geographic distribution,during the past 60 years,both globally as well as over arid and semiarid areas.In addition,the models can reproduce the observed warming trends,but with magnitudes generally less than the observations of around0.1–0.3°C/50a.Compared to temperature,the models perform worse in simulating the annual evolution of observed precipitation,underestimating both the variability and tendency,and there is a huge spread among the models in terms of their simulated precipitation results.The multimodel ensemble mean is overall superior to any individual model in reproducing the observed climate changes.In terms of future climate change,an ongoing warming projected by the multi-model ensemble over arid and semiarid areas can clearly be seen under different RCPs,especially under the high emissions scenario(RCP8.5),which is twice that of the moderate scenario(RCP4.5).Unlike the increasing temperature,precipitation changes vary across areas and are more significant under high-emission RCPs,with more precipitation over wet areas but less precipitation over dry areas.In particular,northern China is projected to be one of the typical areas experiencing significantly increased temperature and precipitation in the future.     

Body weights in Han Chinese populations

The body weights of 26,954 Han Chinese adults in 67 areas （16,503 in rural areas and 10,451 in urban areas） across China were measured from 2009 to 2013. The results showed that in China, the three areas （north China, northeast China, and Jianghuai Plain） were with the greatest body weight. Northwest Hart Chinese populations were heavier. Southwestern dialect groups were at the middle level and lighter than northern Han Chinese populations, but were heavier among southern Han Chinese populations. Chinese Han who located in areas of Hangjiahu were the general level, and similar to south- western dialect groups. The mean values of body weight in Hunan Han and Fujian Han were greater than other Han groups in southern China. Gan dialect groups and Can- tonese dialect groups showed the minimum body weight value in all Chinese Han groups. Besides, the mean body weight of Hakka was heavier than Gan dialect groups and Cantonese dialect groups which were adjacent to Hakka. Body weight increases with an increase in height, bone diameter, subcutaneous fat on the limbs and trunk, chest circumference, and abdomen circumference. This study revealed that northern Han men were heavier than southern Hart men, because the former were taller and had a larger waist circumference as well as thicker subcutaneous fat on their backs. Among women, height, bone diameter of the upper limbs, chest and abdomen circumferences, and sub- cutaneous fat on the limbs and trunks of northern Hart exceeded those of rural southern Han. Consequently, body weight values of northern Han women were higher than those of southern Han women. While a significant differ- ence in these values was found between urban and rural men, no significant difference occurred between urban and rural women. Body weight was associated with age in urban and rural men only in the case of minority groups. However, there was a positive correlation between body weight and age in the majority groups of both urban and rural women. The particular composition of genes involv     

西藏农牧区金融生态环境评价

文章以西藏农牧区金融生态环境为研究对象,利用1990-2011年20年间数据,运用因子分析法对农牧区金融生态环境进行评价,分析结果得出西藏农牧区整体金融生态环境不断改善,特别是2005年以来发展速度明显提升.并从促进农牧区经济发展、发展金融市场、改善信用法律环境与建立和谐的政府服务环境四个方面,提出进一步改善西藏农牧区金融生态环境的建议.     

民族地区图书馆社会阅读推广初探--以内蒙古阿拉善盟图书馆为例

以内蒙古阿拉善盟图书馆为例,探索了新形势下民族地区图书馆利用各种设施和技术条件,开发和利用文献资源,为社会公众提供多元化服务,大力推动延伸服务,培养大众阅读兴趣,提高社会阅读能力,完善公众文化形象的一些举措。     

河南省与周边地区产业转移承接能力比较分析

针对目前对中西部地区意义重大的产业转移承接问题,对比研究了河南省及周边地区产业转移承接能力.构建了产业转移承接能力指标体系,利用主成分分析法,对包括河南省在内共9个省份的产业转移承接能力进行比较分析,以充分了解河南省及周边地区情况,认清自身优势与劣势,并对河南省产业转移承接提出相关建议.     

居住区内大气颗粒物污染特征和影响因素探究——以南京某高校为例

2014年4—5月,在对南京某高校居住区室内和室外的大气污染物PM10进行采样、监测的基础上,分析并讨论其具体的分布特征和影响因素.结果表明:该居住区室内外PM10日均质量浓度基本满足国家二级排放标准(PM10日均浓度小于150μg/m3),只有少数情况下超过国家二级排放标准;室内污染物浓度变化较室外污染物浓度变化有滞后;温度、相对湿度、大气压和天气条件与PM10质量浓度呈现出一定的关联性.     

高速公路实时事故风险研判模型及可移植性

通过G15沈海高速公路南通段上布设的高清卡口过车数据对路段上发生的实时事故风险进行研究.采用配对案例对照方法,结合基于随机森林的参数选取方法对3个子路段上的事故分别建立了支持向量机模型.结果表明,基于高清卡口采集的高分辨率过车数据构建的支持向量机模型相对既有研究中的模型而言其性能较优;对3个子路段分别构建的支持向量机模型进行可移植性分析发现各支持向量机模型均具有一定的可移植性,经过参数重新标定后可直接应用至邻近道路对其实时事故风险状态进行研判,并有着相对较高的预测精度.     

浅析道真自治县城乡建设发展之路

根据县情就如何推动城乡建设发展作一粗浅的思考,旨在探索通过城乡建设发展,如何有效带动道真县经济、文化等方面的发展,缩小城乡差距,进行了探讨。     

试论清代两湖地区书院的刻书业及其兴盛原因

历代书院刻印的图书,在版本学上称为“书院本”。其版本价值较高,历来倍受文士学者重视。清代两湖地区的书院兴盛且日益官学化,书院刻书业比较发达,留下大量作品。究其原因,主要包括社会、政治、经济、文化和学术五个方面。